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Frontier technologies offer Africa a way out of low productivity

African Business • April 3, 2026

Africa's strong growth has yet to deliver structural transformation, but frontier technologies could unlock the productivity gains needed to shift the continent onto a higher-value development path.

Despite posting some of the world's fastest growth rates, African economies have struggled to convert this momentum into meaningful economic transformation. This is largely because much of the continent's growth has been driven by the accumulation of labour and capital, rather than by improvements in how efficiently these resources are used. Productivity has lagged, and the transition from low-productivity sectors such as subsistence agriculture to higher-value manufacturing and services has been slower than anticipated.

Against this backdrop, the 2026 Economic Report on Africa examines the impact of innovation on productivity and, by extension, on economic growth and development. It argues that the adoption of frontier technologies, including artificial intelligence, machine learning and advanced data analytics, offers a pathway to high-productivity growth across the continent.

The report highlights that the uptake of these technologies is already delivering tangible results in key sectors. Smart agriculture is helping to increase yields while reducing input costs, while digital platforms are expanding access to markets and finance. Renewable energy technologies are extending electricity access to underserved regions, and electric vehicles are creating jobs and generating export earnings. At the same time, e-government services are improving efficiency and transparency.

Presenting the report's key findings, Stephen Karingi, Director of the Macroeconomic Policy, Finance and Governance Division at the UN Economic Commission for Africa, emphasised a central message: Africa must embrace frontier technologies not only to grow, but to transform its economies through sustained productivity gains. Boosting productivity, he argued, is the lever that can shift the continent from incremental progress to structural change.

Drawing on both experience and empirical evidence, Karingi noted that even modest improvements in productivity can have a significant impact on economic performance. Small gains, he suggested, can provide a powerful stimulus for broader economic expansion.

He further argued that, for Africa to fully harness the potential of frontier technologies such as artificial intelligence, countries must collaborate to build shared foundational infrastructure, beginning with data centres. Given the high costs involved, regional approaches could offer a more efficient solution.

Karingi also stressed that energy investment is a critical enabler of frontier technologies. Data centres are highly energy-intensive, and while Africa has abundant renewable energy resources, greater cooperation will be needed to optimise their use in powering such facilities.

He placed particular emphasis on the role of Africa's youth in driving digital transformation. Their adoption of frontier technologies will shape the future of innovation, entrepreneurship and inclusive growth. However, he cautioned that high data costs remain a significant barrier, effectively excluding many young Africans from full participation in the digital economy. Addressing affordability, he said, will be essential if the continent is to realise the full benefits of technological adoption.

The Economic Report on Africa also outlines a set of strategic priorities to help governments unlock the full potential of data and frontier technologies. It calls for stronger governance through responsive legal and regulatory frameworks, more robust institutions and improved cybersecurity. It highlights the importance of partnerships at national, regional and international levels to expand access to funding, talent and infrastructure while reducing the risks associated with new technologies.

The report further emphasises the need to promote research and development, innovation and entrepreneurship by increasing both public and private investment, establishing centres of excellence and creating a supportive policy environment for start-ups and commercialisation. It urges governments to develop inclusive, evidence-based policies and roadmaps that are closely aligned with industrialisation, job creation and economic diversification, while remaining flexible enough to adapt to emerging trends.

In addition, the report underscores the importance of investing in human capital. With literacy and enrolment rates still lagging in many countries, education systems must be reformed to better align with industry needs, particularly in science, technology, engineering and mathematics.

Infrastructure development is identified as another critical priority, encompassing data centres, 5G networks, energy systems and electric vehicle charging stations. The report also calls for reforms to the global financing architecture, including improvements in debt resolution, credit ratings and tax systems, to reduce reliance on expensive external borrowing.

Finally, it stresses the importance of de-risking investment in frontier technologies. Measures such as tax incentives and loan guarantees can help to encourage greater private sector participation in what are often high-risk but high-potential ventures.